Open Access
Article
Article ID: 3534
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by Sasmita Sahoo, Aayush Kumar
Adv. Mod. Agric. 2025, 6(3);    0 Views
Received: 31 March 2025; Accepted: 6 June 2025; Available online: 26 June 2025;
Issue release: 30 September 2025
Abstract

Evapotranspiration (ET) modeling plays a vital role in water resource management, agriculture, and climate adaptation. Accurate ET prediction is essential for effective irrigation planning and crop management. However, traditional methods often struggle to capture the complex relationships between environmental factors, resulting in less reliable forecasts. To address this, we implemented and optimized the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network model to predict ET with improved accuracy of 98.8%, achieving a Mean Squared Error (MSE) of 0.12. Our approach incorporates SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) to enhance model interpretability, offering insights into how key factors like solar radiation, wind speed, air temperature, and relative humidity impact ET predictions. The results showed that solar radiation had the highest impact on ET, followed by wind speed and air temperature. This improved understanding of key factors can help farmers and water managers make better decisions about irrigation, ensuring efficient water use and supporting sustainable agriculture. This provides a reliable and interpretable solution for ET prediction, aiding smarter irrigation strategies, improving resource efficiency, and supporting sustainable agricultural practices.

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