Investigation into the correlation between agricultural non-point source pollution and economic expansion in Xinjiang: A Kuznets Curve analysis

Xiao-li Zhang, yire Xia, Kaiti Xiao

Article ID: 2004
Vol 3, Issue 1, 2022
DOI: https://doi.org/10.54517/ps.v3i1.2004
Received: 19 April 2022; Accepted: 11 May 2022; Available online: 25 November 2022;
Issue release: 31 December 2022

VIEWS - 3414 (Abstract)

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Abstract

This study employs the output coefficient method to estimate the agricultural non-point source pollution load in Xinjiang and further analyzes its Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) characteristics.  The objective is to conduct empirical research on the relationship between livestock, planting, rural living, and economic growth.  The results indicate that: (1) The agricultural non-point source pollution load in Xinjiang, in terms of total nitrogen (TN) and total phosphorus (TP), is ranked from highest to lowest as follows: animal husbandry, planting industry, and rural life.  The non-point source pollution from animal husbandry is predominantly attributed to cattle and sheep, while the planting industry's pollution mainly stems from wheat, corn, and cotton crops.  The pollution associated with rural life is largely due to the increasing rural population;  (2) The relationship between agricultural non-point source pollution and economic growth in Xinjiang is not only an inverted "U" type but also an inverted "N" type, "U" type, and linear type.  This suggests that as the economy grows, the pollution load may initially increase, reach a peak, and then decline, or it may rise continuously or show a linear trend.  The findings provide insights into the complex relationship between agricultural non-point source pollution and economic growth, which can inform policy-makers in developing strategies to balance economic development and environmental protection in the region.


Keywords

Xinjiang; Agricultural non-point source pollution; Load estimation; Kuznets Curve


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