Stability analysis of the SEIRS epidemic model with infectious dynamics during latent and infectious periods

Guichen Lu, Yifan Miao

Article ID: 2885
Vol 2, Issue 2, 2024
DOI: https://doi.org/10.54517/mss2885
Received: 15 August 2024; Accepted: 13 September 2024; Available online: 30 September 2024; Issue release: 15 November 2024

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Abstract

Coronary pneumonia caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus was one of the most significant public health threats in recent years. In this paper, we develop and investigate an SEIRS epidemic model that incorporates infectivity during both the latent and infectious stages to characterize the transmission dynamics of COVID-19. By calculating the basic reproduction number (R0) and applying monotonic dynamical system theory along with geometric methods, we validate the threshold theorem. Our analysis demonstrates that the disease-free equilibrium is globally stable when R0 < 1, while the endemic equilibrium becomes globally stable when R0 > 1.

Keywords

COVID-19; SEIRS epidemic model; Basic reproduction number; Global stability


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