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Prediction of cardiovascular mortality based on Grey Markov model

Zikuan Wang, Haiwen Yu

Article ID: 1896
Vol 2, Issue 1, 2021

DOI: https://doi.org/10.54517/ccr.v1i1.1896
VIEWS - 25 (Abstract)

Abstract

With the development of society and economy, the number of cardiovascular diseases continues to increase. Accurate prediction of cardiovascular mortality can guide the prevention of cardiovascular events and the sustainable development of public health. This paper mainly studies the grey Markov prediction model of cardiovascular disease mortality, proposes an improved grey Markov prediction model, and then uses the statistical data of cardiovascular disease mortality in rural and urban areas from 1991 to 2018 for numerical simulation. The simulation results show that the improved grey Markov prediction model is effective.

Keywords

Grey Markov; GM (1,1) model; cardiovascular disease; forecast; simulation

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